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Porcelain: fewer peaks, more movement

Turnover concentrates in a few named kilns; mid-range pieces circulate faster.

A famille rose dish with a rooster, hen and chicks under a cock’s-comb plant
A famille rose dish with a rooster, hen and chicks under a cock’s-comb plant · Plate: The Metropolitan Museum of Art · CC0

Sorting the last three seasons into price bands, the number of lots in the top band falls while the value of each does not: money is concentrating in a few objects that people keep discussing.

For sellers the lesson is that mid-range estimates must sit close to the market. An inflated estimate does not make an object look dearer; it makes it unsold, and the market remembers two seasons later.

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